Friday, February 4, 2011

Are there patterns in the events in Egypt.

It would be interesting to see some math analysis of the popular uprising in Egypt.

I know that mathematicians have theories and formulas that describe large groups of individuals in random motion: molecules of gas, flocks of birds, population projections, to name a few. These could be or perhaps already have been applied to this seemingly leaderless revolt.

First, I realize that while the overall motion of large groups can be calculated, there is no way to determine what one individual will do, particularly one very complex individual human, with an assortment of abilities, opportunities and motivations. So, which individual or group will ultimately rise to power, should Mubarak be removed soon, is, for the moment, pure speculation, the general process will probably unfold in some predictable pattern.

Right now the scene looks rather chaotic, although there are people cooperating to fend off the attacks of the government's hired thugs. To me, all phenomena are much more interesting and beautiful if the pattern is discernable, and this uprising looks like it is unfolding like an elaborate flower or condensing like a gas cloud into a solar system.

A complex system set in motion will run its course, following some natural pattern. I am anxious to see how these events unfold.

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